Country Risk Index

Live global risk rankings based on 55 active threat signals

Friday, February 6, 2026 - Updated continuously

6
Critical Risk
21
High Risk
9
Elevated Risk
0
Moderate Risk

Critical Risk

6 countries requiring immediate attention

United States

131
Risk Score
critical35% escalation
7 active signals347,941 sources
Civil UnrestFloodSevere Weather+4

United Kingdom

123
Risk Score
critical34% escalation
3 active signals82,991 sources
ConflictOtherChemical Spill

Somalia

119
Risk Score
critical34% escalation
1 active signal70,415 sources
Other

Switzerland

119
Risk Score
critical35% escalation
1 active signal145,067 sources
Other

Turkey

118
Risk Score
critical33% escalation
1 active signal96,739 sources
Other

India

100
Risk Score
high34% escalation
4 active signals173,561 sources
Port CongestionFloodConflict+1

High Risk

21 countries with significant activity

Bangladesh

99
Risk Score
high39% escalation
2 active signals17,662 sources
OtherEarthquake

Japan

98
Risk Score
high39% escalation
2 active signals12,159 sources
Civil UnrestOther

Spain

98
Risk Score
high35% escalation
3 active signals31,891 sources
OtherCyber AttackDisease Outbreak

Russia

96
Risk Score
high34% escalation
2 active signals56,374 sources
OtherEarthquake

Australia

96
Risk Score
high34% escalation
2 active signals19,868 sources
OtherWildfire

Georgia

94
Risk Score
high35% escalation
1 active signal49,667 sources
Other

Myanmar

94
Risk Score
high34% escalation
1 active signal10,247 sources
Other

Brazil

94
Risk Score
high34% escalation
1 active signal41,232 sources
Other

Taiwan

94
Risk Score
high34% escalation
1 active signal36,030 sources
Other

Greece

94
Risk Score
high35% escalation
1 active signal27,385 sources
Other

Egypt

94
Risk Score
high34% escalation
1 active signal16,570 sources
Other

Mexico

94
Risk Score
high34% escalation
1 active signal29,474 sources
Other

Italy

94
Risk Score
high34% escalation
1 active signal22,122 sources
Other

Nigeria

94
Risk Score
high35% escalation
1 active signal9,598 sources
Other

Argentina

94
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal21,658 sources
Other

Sweden

94
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal17,406 sources
Other

Pakistan

94
Risk Score
high34% escalation
1 active signal6,715 sources
Other

Vietnam

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal21,190 sources
Other

Israel

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal15,625 sources
Other

Romania

93
Risk Score
high33% escalation
1 active signal8,805 sources
Other

Azerbaijan

72
Risk Score
medium36% escalation
2 active signals77 sources
Severe WeatherWildfire

Elevated Risk

9 countries with notable incidents

Philippines

69
1 signals34% esc

France

60
1 signals17% esc

Morocco

60
1 signals17% esc

Nepal

60
1 signals17% esc

Syria

60
1 signals17% esc

Kazakhstan

52
1 signals50% esc

Cuba

51
2 signals45% esc

Singapore

46
1 signals38% esc

Uganda

43
1 signals31% esc

How We Calculate Country Risk

WorldNOC's Country Risk Index provides real-time risk assessments for countries worldwide based on active threat signals from our global monitoring network. Each country's risk score is calculated using:

  • Signal Severity - The highest severity level among active incidents (critical, high, medium, low)
  • Escalation Probability - AI-predicted likelihood of situation escalation in the next 72 hours
  • Escalation State - Current trajectory: Flashpoint, Escalating, Unstable, or Cooling
  • Signal Volume - Number of distinct incidents being tracked

Risk levels are categorized as Critical (score 100+), High (70-99), Elevated (40-69), and Moderate (below 40). Click any country for detailed analysis including specific incidents, affected sectors, and recommended actions.

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