Country Risk Index

Live global risk rankings based on 36 active threat signals

Tuesday, March 24, 2026 - Updated continuously

5
Critical Risk
17
High Risk
2
Elevated Risk
1
Moderate Risk

Critical Risk

5 countries requiring immediate attention

United States

113
Risk Score
critical2% escalation
6 active signals430,094 sources
Severe WeatherFloodCivil Unrest+3

United Kingdom

107
Risk Score
critical2% escalation
3 active signals111,831 sources
ConflictOtherChemical Spill

Switzerland

103
Risk Score
critical2% escalation
1 active signal184,033 sources
Other

Somalia

103
Risk Score
critical2% escalation
1 active signal88,415 sources
Other

Turkey

103
Risk Score
critical2% escalation
1 active signal141,568 sources
Other

High Risk

17 countries with significant activity

India

84
Risk Score
high2% escalation
4 active signals217,161 sources
OtherPort CongestionConflict+1

Russia

80
Risk Score
high2% escalation
2 active signals85,109 sources
OtherEarthquake

Georgia

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal74,943 sources
Other

Taiwan

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal51,481 sources
Other

Spain

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal44,175 sources
Other

Brazil

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal55,578 sources
Other

Australia

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal17,273 sources
Other

Vietnam

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal27,800 sources
Other

Greece

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal35,575 sources
Other

Mexico

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal42,360 sources
Other

Egypt

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal21,558 sources
Other

Italy

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal37,499 sources
Other

Nigeria

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal12,636 sources
Other

Sweden

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal21,608 sources
Other

Romania

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal12,071 sources
Other

Japan

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal15,230 sources
Other

Pakistan

78
Risk Score
high2% escalation
1 active signal9,827 sources
Other

Elevated Risk

2 countries with notable incidents

Kenya

56
1 signals8% esc

France

53
1 signals1% esc

Moderate Risk

1 countries with minor activity
Germany1

How We Calculate Country Risk

WorldNOC's Country Risk Index provides real-time risk assessments for countries worldwide based on active threat signals from our global monitoring network. Each country's risk score is calculated using:

  • Signal Severity - The highest severity level among active incidents (critical, high, medium, low)
  • Escalation Probability - AI-predicted likelihood of situation escalation in the next 72 hours
  • Escalation State - Current trajectory: Flashpoint, Escalating, Unstable, or Cooling
  • Signal Volume - Number of distinct incidents being tracked

Risk levels are categorized as Critical (score 100+), High (70-99), Elevated (40-69), and Moderate (below 40). Click any country for detailed analysis including specific incidents, affected sectors, and recommended actions.

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